"With words we govern men" – Disraeli

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Alexey Sazonov's column

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21 November, 2009, 21:29
Slowly Choking Iran

Iran is again making headlines. The nuclear deals are on and off constantly and the press is all over it because it creates suspense. The more important things, however, are hidden in Iraq, which is pushed off to the side just like Afghanistan was in the coverage of world events. Many say that Iraq is stable. That is not so for there have been large bombings and still there are constant attacks on convoys and IEDs everywhere. The reason for the coverage being directed more towards Iran is because both Afghanistan and Iraq are essential to having control over Tehran’s policies and government as a whole.

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Back in the 1950’s Kermit Roosevelt Jr, Theodore Roosevelt’s grandson, was sent into Iran with a few million dollars and a goal to overthrow a democracy. The democracy that was in place in Iran was overthrown by a country that was the epicenter of democratic thought at the time. This was made to look like it was a people’s revolution and eventually the Shah was put in place to deliver on his promises to the US government and the petroleum market to allow drilling and to overlook environmental laws in place.

Iran has long been the center of US attention and ticking off the White House by not allowing something to be done with regard to petrol in the Middle East usually brings around problems for the country in question. Iran’s development is something that does not fit the agenda of the West. The current Iranian government does not take IMF or World Bank loans, does not allow US corporations to come in and has stiff measures in place to assure that Iranians are sole operators of the oil market in the country, less a few exceptions.

The US involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan is aimed at controlling some of the most important areas through which pressure could be exerted on Tehran in order to bring about a change. When the Iranians took to the streets this year protesting over the election that went on, one of the highlights of the mass protests was a girl getting shot and being filmed dying. That brought about world attention of the events and condemnation of the election process. Judging by the fact that all the pieces were in place and the shot was carefully made, there is a possibility that the CIA was trying to take advantage of the situation. After all, this is most unstable that Iran has been in recent years and the opportunity was there. So, if there was an operation, it was a fluke. The people, although protesting, were not going to start another revolution.

The key to the Middle East, however, does not only lie in controlling Saudi Arabia or Iran, the most important element is in the Persian Gulf itself. The overwhelming amount of oil that gets shipped out goes through the Persian Gulf and the straights of Hormuz. The US Navy command located in Bahrain is very strategically placed so the US has a presence right at the bottle neck. Now that Iraq presents few problems for petrol operations in Kuwait and Afghanistan, it is becoming the center of attention to facilitate stability and building a transit route around Iran, and the US is gaining more and more leverage.

It will always be a struggle to control the precious resources and secure them for sale by a country’s own corporations, be they private or state owned. Understanding the game can land an entrepreneur a nice business opportunity and a securities and futures trader huge gains, average voters then need information that is essential to a making an informed vote. Whether Iran will withstand this onslaught, is questionable.

Tehran has had to clamp down on basic citizens’ right in order to assure that 1950’s style take over does not happen. The hostility it receives from its Middle Eastern neighbors is not very settling, as well. This is an interesting, and as always on such scales, a dangerous game. Iran is in a losing position right now. Will it cede its interests? Will it bend under pressure? Or will it go “all in” and use their military? Hopefully it does not come to that, but it’s up to the diplomats to avoid such situations. What they are doing right now, it seems, it slowly choking Iran in order to eventually have it give in to others’ interests.

17 November, 2009, 19:45
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14 November, 2009, 01:45
Media is the 4th Pillar of Power – Looking Beyond the Fireworks
About author

My name is Alexey Sazonov. I was 11 years old when I came to United States from St. Petersburg, Russia. I have been interested in politics my whole life. I believe in rational thinking, especially when it comes to politics. Political analysis should be unbiased and verified. Everyone is entitled to their own opinions and loyalties. However, public news and analysis should be based on multiple sources and facts.

I am currently a student at University of Illinois at Chicago, majoring in Economics, with minors in International Business and Political Science. I believe it is everyone's essential duty to understand the politics of today's world for everyone on this planet is effected by world leaders' daily decisions.

“With words we govern men” – Disraeli.