"With words we govern men" – Disraeli

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Alexey Sazonov's column

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21 November, 2009, 21:29
Slowly Choking Iran

Iran is again making headlines. The nuclear deals are on and off constantly and the press is all over it because it creates suspense. The more important things, however, are hidden in Iraq, which is pushed off to the side just like Afghanistan was in the coverage of world events. Many say that Iraq is stable. That is not so for there have been large bombings and still there are constant attacks on convoys and IEDs everywhere. The reason for the coverage being directed more towards Iran is because both Afghanistan and Iraq are essential to having control over Tehran’s policies and government as a whole.

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Back in the 1950’s Kermit Roosevelt Jr, Theodore Roosevelt’s grandson, was sent into Iran with a few million dollars and a goal to overthrow a democracy. The democracy that was in place in Iran was overthrown by a country that was the epicenter of democratic thought at the time. This was made to look like it was a people’s revolution and eventually the Shah was put in place to deliver on his promises to the US government and the petroleum market to allow drilling and to overlook environmental laws in place.

Iran has long been the center of US attention and ticking off the White House by not allowing something to be done with regard to petrol in the Middle East usually brings around problems for the country in question. Iran’s development is something that does not fit the agenda of the West. The current Iranian government does not take IMF or World Bank loans, does not allow US corporations to come in and has stiff measures in place to assure that Iranians are sole operators of the oil market in the country, less a few exceptions.

The US involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan is aimed at controlling some of the most important areas through which pressure could be exerted on Tehran in order to bring about a change. When the Iranians took to the streets this year protesting over the election that went on, one of the highlights of the mass protests was a girl getting shot and being filmed dying. That brought about world attention of the events and condemnation of the election process. Judging by the fact that all the pieces were in place and the shot was carefully made, there is a possibility that the CIA was trying to take advantage of the situation. After all, this is most unstable that Iran has been in recent years and the opportunity was there. So, if there was an operation, it was a fluke. The people, although protesting, were not going to start another revolution.

The key to the Middle East, however, does not only lie in controlling Saudi Arabia or Iran, the most important element is in the Persian Gulf itself. The overwhelming amount of oil that gets shipped out goes through the Persian Gulf and the straights of Hormuz. The US Navy command located in Bahrain is very strategically placed so the US has a presence right at the bottle neck. Now that Iraq presents few problems for petrol operations in Kuwait and Afghanistan, it is becoming the center of attention to facilitate stability and building a transit route around Iran, and the US is gaining more and more leverage.

It will always be a struggle to control the precious resources and secure them for sale by a country’s own corporations, be they private or state owned. Understanding the game can land an entrepreneur a nice business opportunity and a securities and futures trader huge gains, average voters then need information that is essential to a making an informed vote. Whether Iran will withstand this onslaught, is questionable.

Tehran has had to clamp down on basic citizens’ right in order to assure that 1950’s style take over does not happen. The hostility it receives from its Middle Eastern neighbors is not very settling, as well. This is an interesting, and as always on such scales, a dangerous game. Iran is in a losing position right now. Will it cede its interests? Will it bend under pressure? Or will it go “all in” and use their military? Hopefully it does not come to that, but it’s up to the diplomats to avoid such situations. What they are doing right now, it seems, it slowly choking Iran in order to eventually have it give in to others’ interests.

Show comments (2)
Fred

24 November, 2009, 13:48

John I agree totally with the picture you paint of my country the US, the whole world is aware of it; The good news is Russia does too and it's a chess game for them, Russia has to modernize it's economy and Military, they're in process. Patience, the US will destroy itself with it's spending, borrowing, and military expansionism; This is not 1945 when the whole world was in ruins and the US had a jump on everyone, the world has caught up, this is a different world from 1945 or even 1975, however most American people still live in old myths they have long been brain washed to believe...richest? (2% own 95% of the wealth) powerful?( Korea, Vietnam, Granada, Panama,Iraq, Afghanistan, CIA sponsored overthrow of foreign governments)..
Democracy? (takes 700 million to win the presidency) We don't even have universal health coverage like most advanced nations. Could we turn it around? I don't think so there will be no change...You say the US may change its president in three years, so what? he's no different now than before or will it be in the future . The US is just not in a position to bully anyone anymore, let alone Russia.
the renowned French historian, demographer, sociologist, and political scientist in his book "After the Empire" wrote that the US Army in Korea and Vietnam showed it's mediocrity and should be so thankful it never had to fight the Russians.

Fred Oregon, USA


john

22 November, 2009, 07:10

It is obvious that the Great Satan wants to colonize Iran for its oil (12% of global known resources) and its gas (world’s second largest gas deposits).
The Satan wants to control all worlds’ oil, after colonization of Iran they will control 80%. Iranian gas is needed for Nabuco in order to control Europe’s gas supply.
That is all well known to everyone, even children. But what is Russia’s policy towards Iran? What Russia wants ? In this all Russia is playing the role of useful fool. It appears Russia wants to buy itself American favors by betraying Iran. This is very much short minded. After the Satan takes care of everybody it will turn against Russia using all resources under its control including Iranian.
Medvedev does not have a vision. Seems like he forgot, in 3 years there will be another American election.
The US with its mad military spending, and lack of fiscal discipline is the only danger to the world’s peace and economic stability.


17 November, 2009, 19:45
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About author

My name is Alexey Sazonov. I was 11 years old when I came to United States from St. Petersburg, Russia. I have been interested in politics my whole life. I believe in rational thinking, especially when it comes to politics. Political analysis should be unbiased and verified. Everyone is entitled to their own opinions and loyalties. However, public news and analysis should be based on multiple sources and facts.

I am currently a student at University of Illinois at Chicago, majoring in Economics, with minors in International Business and Political Science. I believe it is everyone's essential duty to understand the politics of today's world for everyone on this planet is effected by world leaders' daily decisions.

“With words we govern men” – Disraeli.